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Sunday, May 07, 2006

polling results

hahah... cant believe i can post 3 blogs in a night...
latest update of polling results.
To me, it is hardly surprising that PAP secured 82 out of 84 seats, just like GE2001.
But I did not really expect the percentage of votes for the incumbent MPs in the opposition wards to actually increase as compared to GE2001. Especially when SM Goh is assigned to back the two PAP candidates and not forgetting the upgrading 'carrot'. What it implies is really interesting.. hmm..
Another interesting thing is that the percentage of votes PAP gets in the wards (Bt Panjang & Sembawang) that SDP contest in take the top 2 position. Does it mean it really show that the support rate for PAP is really that high or is it that the voters are now sidelining the SDP such that although they do not fully support the PAP, they still vote for PAP??
By coincidence or by chance, the percentage of non-effective (spolit) votes are also the highest in these 2 wards... Am I reading too much into it or do these two sets of stats try to imply something?? That the voters wanted to vote for the opposition party but bcos they doubt the ability of the opposition party they decided to cast blank votes instead?? Since in most of the other wards, the winning rates are only in the 60 range and spoilt votes remains at ard 2%..
Finally the PAP team in AMK GRC only manage to garner approx 66.1% of the votes, somewhat below the national average.. It did come as a surprise to me cos my guess is that WP can get 30-31% of the votes. there are even bookies betting if they can get more than 20% of the votes!! im sure they are now repaying the winnings like siao now... =P Following similar line of thoughts, is the result a true reflection of the ground?? Or can it be that since voters know that since it is a sure-win for the PAP candidates, they are more willing to vote for WP??
I not sure if this is called critical thinking or ridiculous thinking on my part. Well, taking things with a pinch of salt can be good.. although some may think that critical thinking is a process where one is either trying to pick a bone inside an egg or wasting time to think about questions with no ans, i believe that 'jin xing shu bu ru wu shu' is one 'zhi li ming yan'. well, the above is just some doubts running thro my mind now... you may or may not agree with me but one is entitled to his or her own opinion....